Joe Manchin grows $11 million war chest as he mulls 2024 election plans

By Harshawn Ratanpal

Sen. Joe Manchin’s (D-W.V.) political future is unclear. With a campaign committee sporting $11.3 million on hand, the 76-year-old Democrat is weighing his options, ranging from retirement to an independent presidential run. 

While he has not announced whether he will defend his Senate seat in 2024, Manchin continued to raise more money than his Republican challengers last quarter, according to an OpenSecrets analysis of campaign finance reports, which cover fundraising from July to September.

The Cook Political Report ranks the race a toss-up, and the Democratic Party stands to lose its narrow Senate majority if Democrats don’t retain seats in key battleground states, including West Virginia. 

Manchin hasn’t announced a reelection campaign, but West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (R) and Rep. Alex Mooney (R-W.V.) are vying for his seat in a heated, if lopsided, primary. Justice raised $613,000 last quarter, nearly double the amount Mooney raised over the same period, an OpenSecrets analysis of third-quarter Federal Election Commission filings found.

A poll from the West Virginia Chamber of Commerce, which has a political action committee that contributes to candidates, including Manchin during his 2008 gubernatorial run, showed Justice beating Mooney by 37 points in the Republican Primary.

Polls show Justice also winning the general election. An Emerson College poll released earlier this month had Justice leading Manchin by 13 points in a head-to-head matchup, with a margin of error of 4.2 points. The same poll predicted Manchin would win by 6 points against Mooney.

Former President Donald Trump, who won West Virginia by 39 points in 2020, endorsed Justice last week. 

Meanwhile, Mooney was the only candidate in the race to garner support from super PACs last quarter.

PACs affiliated with the conservative advocacy group Club for Growth reported spending over $377,000 supporting Mooney and opposing Justice in the third quarter and a total of $1.26 million since early 2022. 

The Senate Conservatives Fund, a PAC that supports Republicans running for Senate, spent an additional $122,000 backing Mooney between July 5 and Oct. 17.

Even though Mooney spent most of his third-quarter earnings, he started the quarter with more cash on hand than Justice and maintained a cash advantage. Mooney ended September with $1.6 million, compared to Justice’s $1.2 million.

Mooney sourced 16.5% of his campaign funds, or $51,800, from donors who gave $200 or less during the third quarter. Justice raised $51,400 — or 8.4% of his contributions — from small donors. 

Small donors made up just a quarter of one percent of Manchin’s direct fundraising.

Manchin led the pack in direct PAC support, receiving $104,000 from 28 committees. Despite his reputation for breaking the party line, Manchin’s campaign still received some money from fellow Democrats. 

Leadership PACs affiliated with Sens. Tina Smith (D-Minn), Cory Booker (D-N.J.) and Bob Casey (D-Penn) gave a total of $15,000 to Manchin. He received another $10,000 from Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s (I-Ariz.) leadership PAC, Getting Stuff Done. Sinema left the Democratic Party last December. 

Mooney received $23,900 from Republican leadership PACs, including one affiliated with Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio). Jordan’s leadership PAC gave Mooney $2,900 weeks before Mooney voted three times to support Jordan’s House speaker bid. In total, PACs gave Mooney $32,650.

Justice received $17,500 from PACs, with $16,000 coming from party members’ leadership PACs. While Justice raised less PAC money than Mooney, senior Republicans, including the National Republican Senatorial Committee, have reportedly signaled their support for him. 

Mooney and Justice each spent nearly twice as much as Manchin during the most recent quarter. Mooney’s campaign spent $272,000 from July to September, with $94,000 going toward digital and direct marketing.  Justice spent $254,000, $64,000 of which went toward digital advertising and consulting. 

Manchin spent $135,000 during the third quarter and did not report spending any money on advertising. 

No prominent Democrats have announced plans to primary Manchin. The last time Manchin lost a race was 1996, in his first bid for governor. He has since been elected three times to the U.S. Senate, two times as governor and once as West Virginia’s Secretary of State.

This article originally appeared in Open Secrets.org on October 26th, 2023.  

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Is Democratic Establishment Ready to Lose with Biden in '24?

The president has lost many of the activists who are needed to inform the ill-informed, to organize get-out-the-vote campaigns and mobilize occasional voters.

• By JEFF COHEN

If you get your news from Biden-protecting outlets (MSNBC is just the most extreme of many), you’ve been warned daily that the Trump movement is preparing to steal the 2024 election. It’s a totally legitimate worry – given that MAGA forces nearly stole the 2020 election.

But there’s another totally legitimate worry that Biden-friendly media don’t like to discuss – that Joe Biden is such a weak candidate, he’s likely to lose a fair-and-square election in 2024. And likely to lose even to the discredited, unstable, repeatedly indicted Trump.

The New York Times/Sienna College poll of registered voters released Sunday should cause alarm: Biden is trailing Trump in head-to-head match-ups in five of the six most crucial battlegrounds states – all of which Biden won in 2020. The president trails Trump in Nevada by more than 10 points. He trails Trump in Georgia by six points, in Arizona and Michigan by five points, and in Pennsylvania by four points. (Only in Wisconsin does Biden lead, and that’s by only two points.)

If your news diet is provided by MSNBC or other pro-Biden corporate outlets, you may have heard Biden likened to the second coming of FDR, a savior to the working classes. That’s not how the working classes see him. They see him as economically ineffectual, especially in dealing with inflation. “Bidenomics” may be a success story in the studios of MSNBC or CNN or NPR; it’s not seen that way by the voting masses.

In fairness to Biden-allied media, many of those who voted for Biden in 2020 – but now tell pollsters they won’t do so in 2024 – are “low-information voters.” While some are misinformed by right-wing outlets, most don’t pay close attention to news or politics. You can tell that from the ill-informed quotes they gave to the Times.

But in my view, the new poll actually understates the problems for Biden. The president has lost many of the activists who are needed to inform the ill-informed, to organize get-out-the-vote campaigns and mobilize occasional voters. These activists are often highly informed. Indeed, they are so well-informed that they know all too well about Biden’s policy reversals and broken promises. For example, thousands of climate activists mobilized in swing states to help Biden defeat Trump in 2020. Will they in 2024?

As civilians in Gaza are being massacred day after day, Biden’s one-sided “I stand with Israel” policy is losing him countless young activists and racial justice organizers who mobilized for him against Trump in 2020.

As civilians in Gaza are being massacred day after day, Biden’s one-sided “I stand with Israel” policy is losing him countless young activists and racial justice organizers who mobilized for him against Trump in 2020. In Michigan and other swingstates, Arab and Muslim activists who detest Trump have said they won’t vote for Biden, let alone mobilize for him.

Let me be clear about my own position: On every issue where Biden’s policies are mediocre (like on climate or the corporate greed that has fed inflation) or awful (like Israel-Palestine), Trump’s policies are even worse. Far worse. That’s not debatable.

But the “not-as-bad-as-Trump” pitch is obviously not satisfying many Democratic-leaning voters and activists, especially young progressives who are angry with Biden over Gaza civilian deaths and other failings.

As my RootsAction colleagues and I have been pointing out for the last year via the Don't Run Joe and then Step Aside Joe campaign, there’s a major split between Democratic Party leaders and donors on the one hand, and Democratic voters on the other. Polls have long shown that the Democratic base does not want Biden to run in 2024. But Democratic leaders and officials have ignored the party’s core constituencies.

As for the big donors who’ve funded Biden for years (some of whom donate to both parties), they’d rather lose with Joe than risk the election of a change-oriented Democrat they don’t know well or can’t control.

There is only one scenario that offers hope for November 2024: the increasingly unpopular Joe Biden announces in the coming weeks that he won’t be seeking reelection (President Johnson took that step in March 1968). This would lead to a wide-open primary process featuring competition between Vice President Harris (with approval levels even lower than Biden’s) and various senators, Congress members, governors and activists.

In an open primary process, the activist base of the party – which is more progressive than the party leadership on every issue from racial justice and economics to climate and foreign policy – could exert its influence and make demands on the candidates. For example: given that most activist Democrats don’t believe “self-defense” justifies the day-in day-out massacre of Palestinian civilians, there’s a real possibility that the winning Democrat would have a more even-handed approach to the Israel-Palestine conflict.

What’s needed is a democratic and transparent primary process. Such a process could enable the party to unify and rally behind a Democratic nominee who is capable of soundly defeating Trump and Trumpism. 

The opinions expressed here are solely the author’s and do not reflect the opinions or beliefs of the LA Progressive.

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'Let Gaza Live!': A Month Into Israeli War, Massive US Protests Demand Cease-Fire

By Jessica Corbett

"We came here to let our voices be heard," said one demonstrator in Washington, D.C. "Every human is entitled to basic human rights, not killing kids, not torturing people."

Huge crowds of protesters filled the streets of Washington, D.C. and other U.S. cities on Saturday to demand a cease-fire in Israel's war on Hamas, which has killed and wounded thousands of Palestinian civilians in the Gaza Strip over the past month.

"We came here to let our voices be heard and our hearts and hoping we'll change the way people see this conflict," 70-year-old Manar Ghanayem toldThe Washington Post in the nation's capitol, where demonstrators gathered in and around Freedom Plaza.

"Every human is entitled to basic human rights, not killing kids, not torturing people," added Ghanayem, who traveled from North Carolina to march in D.C. with more than a dozen friends and family members, including young grandchildren.

Ghanayem also said that she voted for U.S. President Joe Biden in 2020 but was outraged by his response to the war. As she put it, "I can't believe Biden is turning a blind eye to this and gave Israel the green light."

Rather than advocating for a cease-fire, the Biden administration has pushed for "humanitarian pauses" in what critics are calling Israel's "genocidal" air and ground assault of Gaza—launched after a Hamas-led surprise attack on Israel on October 7.

After speaking with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the beginning of the war, Biden said that "my administration's support for Israel's security is rock solid and unwavering." He quickly asked Congress for $14.3 billion for the Israeli war effort, on top of the typical $3.8 billion in annual U.S. military aid.

"Americans do not support the genocide in Palestine, we do not support the occupation, yet we are being robbed of our own resources in order to fund this oppression," said CodePink organizer Nour Jaghama earlier this week. Her anti-war group is a part of a broad coalition that supported Saturday's demonstrations in the United States.

"We need to show our government that we are outraged at them for forcing us to participate in such a disgusting and devastating attack on humanity," Jaghama continued. "As Americans, we have a responsibility to our brothers and sisters in Palestine to fight for them however we can."

Jaghama also delivered a speech on Saturday. According to CodePink:

"One of the most prominent questions we need to ask ourselves is: Why we can hear these words and firsthand accounts from Gaza yet the genocide still continues? Why do only 18 representatives and ONLY ONE senator support a cease-fire? And why does President Biden insist on funding Netanyahu's genocide?" she asked the crowd...

She then aimed her questions directly at President Biden: "Is this how you want to be remembered? A genocidal, destructive, warmonger? Shame! Look at this crowd, clearly the American people do not agree with your genocidal plans. You must call for a cease-fire now or solidify your position as one of the most inhumane presidents in American history. The American people demand a cease-fire, an end to the occupation, and the full liberation of Palestine."

Demonstrators in D.C. carried signs with messages like "Stop U.S.-funded genocide," "Cease-Fire Now," and "Let Gaza Live!"

Sharing a photo from the D.C. gathering on social media, Rep. Ayanna Pressley (D-Mass.) said: "Solidarity with the hundreds of thousands of people nationwide who marched in support of a #CeasefireNOW. Our pro-peace, pro-humanity movement is strong and it is growing daily."

The Saturday actions followed weeks of protests at places including congressional offices and major transit stations. Jewish Voice for Peace noted Monday that "Jewish people all throughout the United States are protesting in unprecedented numbers against Israel's destruction of Gaza and the United States' unwavering support."

Protesters, supporters, and journalists shared updates on social media.

New York, New York:

Minneapolis, Minnesota:

Olympia, Washington:

San Francisco, California:

(Photo: Brett Wilkins)

(Photo: Brett Wilkins)

(Photo: Brett Wilkins)

The Associated Pressreported that U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Saturday "met with Arab foreign ministers in Jordan a day after talks in Israel with... Netanyahu, who insisted there could be no temporary cease-fire until all hostages held by Hamas are released."

Officials in Israel say Palestinian militants are holding around 240 hostages and more than 1,500 Israelis have been killed over the past four weeks. According to the Gaza Health Ministry, Israel's war on the besieged enclave has killed over 9,400 Palestinians. Amid a surge in settler violence, 144 Palestinians have been killed in the West Bank.

Israel has faced global criticism for cutting off the people of Gaza from food, water, fuel, and medicine as well as bombing homes, schools, medical facilities, religious buildings, and a refugee camp. Some citizens of Israel have joined in worldwide demands for International Criminal Court action on "escalating Israeli war crimes and genocide."

Pro-Palestinian protests were also held around the world on Saturday, including in Berlin, Germany; Dhaka, Bangladesh; London, England; Paris, France; Milan, Italy; Santiago, Chile; and Tokyo, Japan. Scientist and organizer Lucky Tran said on social media that "we are witnessing the biggest global anti-war protests since the Iraq War in 2003."

In the United Kingdom, tens of thousands of people blocked London's Oxford Circus and Piccadilly Circus, then marched to Trafalgar Square. Al Jazeera reported that "protesters held 'Freedom for Palestine' placards and chanted 'cease-fire now' and 'in our thousands, in our millions, we are all Palestinians.'"

This article originally appeared in Common Dreams on November 4th, 2023.  

Related Posts

300,000 march in Washington, DC for Palestine, Peoples' Dispatch

University students across the US walk out of classes for Gaza, Peoples' Dispatch

Group of FL Republicans want D.C. mayor to remove Black Lives Matter mural, Florida Phoenix

While Israeli Media Examine Government Failure, US Papers Push ‘National Unity’ , FAIR

Palestinian resistance in Gaza launches historic surprise attack against Israel, Peoples' Dispatch

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300,000 march in Washington, DC for Palestine

Hundreds of thousands of people in the US marched on Saturday for the liberation of Palestine from Israeli occupation and to decry the support of their government for Israel

by Peoples Dispatch

Over 300,000 people poured into Freedom Plaza in Washington, DC, on November 4, in the largest Palestine solidarity demonstration in US history. The unprecedented demonstration comes in the wake of Israel’s ongoing genocide in the Gaza Strip. Organized by a wide range of Palestinian, Arab, and anti-imperialist groups including the Palestinian Youth Movement, the ANSWER Coalition, the Peoples Forum, Al-Adwa: The Palestine Right to Return Coalition, and National Students for Justice in Palestine, hundreds of thousands rallied and then marched to the White House, demanding an end to US funding for Israel, and an immediate ceasefire in Gaza.

Protesters yelled chants such as “From the river to the sea, Palestine will be free!” and “Ceasefire now!” Some brought long lists of names of those killed in Gaza in this past month by Israel.

This 300,000 strong march occurred in the heart of Israel’s most significant backer, the United States, despite the fact that people in the country have been faced with various forms of persecution for supporting Palestine. The Virginia Attorney General just opened an investigation into American Muslims for Palestine looking into allegations against the group for “benefiting or providing support to terrorist organizations”. Students who organize in solidarity for Palestine, especially those in local Students for Justice in Palestine chapters, have been doxxed and have had job offers rescinded.

“We’re all afraid, but this fear does not compare,” said Palestinian poet Mohammed El-Kurd, speaking from the podium at Freedom Plaza. “They want us to think that we are paying personal prices, but we have our community. They want us to think that we are alone, but we have our people supporting us. If they come for you, if they take your job, if they fire you from school, if they expel you, do not think of yourself as a casualty. You are not a casualty, you are fuel for the movement, you are part of the struggle.”

“Empire does not reward silence. It will crush us anyway, it will swallow us anyway, we will not sit in the corner quietly as they kill our people.”

The US has contributed around USD 130 billion in military aid to Israeli occupation since the creation of the state in 1948. In the wake of the Israeli bombardment of Gaza, the House of Representatives passed a massive USD 14.5 billion military aid package to further support the occupation. The bombs that Israel drops are largely US-made. “It is not lost on us that the US government sends its military advisors and soldiers, it’s aircraft carriers and rockets, its weapons of mass destruction to support the genocide of our people,” said Mohammed Nabulsi of the Palestinian Youth Movement. “It is not lost on us that this same government mobilizes its repressive vehicles in the US to surveil, suppress, and criminalize our communities in the movement for Palestinian freedom.”

Brian Becker, executive director of the ANSWER Coalition, brought up how similar numbers showed up many decades ago in solidarity with the struggle against South African apartheid. Despite the US government’s support for the South African government at the time “forty years ago this month… thousands of people came together in Washington DC to say that the racist fascist apartheid regime in South Africa must fall, and we will help it fall, and within a few years, it did fall.”

“We make the change, the change comes from us, and right now sisters and brothers—we are sending a message, a very strong message to Joe Biden: if you stand with genocide we hold you guilty of genocide.”

This article originally appeared at PeoplesDispatch.org on November 6th, 2023.  

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United Auto Workers union hails strike-ending deals with automakers that would raise top assembly-plant hourly pay to more than $40 as ‘record contracts’

 Marick Masters, Wayne State University

The United Auto Workers union agreed on a tentative new contract with General Motors on Oct. 30, 2023, days after landing similar deals with Ford Motor Co. on Oct. 25 and Stellantis, the global automaker that makes Chrysler, Dodge and Ram vehicles in North America, on Oct. 28. The pending agreements have halted the industry’s longest strike in 25 years. It began on Sept. 15, when the UAW’s prior contracts with all three automakers expired, and lasted more than six weeks. After gradually ramping up, the strike eventually included about 46,000 workers – roughly one-third of the union’s 146,000 members at the three companies.

Ford released a statement in which it said it was “pleased” to have reached a deal and “focused on restarting Kentucky Truck Plant, Michigan Assembly Plant and Chicago Assembly Plant.” Stellantis, likewise, looks forward to “resuming operations,” as one of its executives said in a statement. General Motors initially made no public statements.

The Conversation asked Marick Masters, a Wayne State University scholar of labor and business issues, to explain what’s in these contracts and their significance.

What are the terms of the contract?

According to several media reports and the union’s own announcements, Ford’s tentative labor agreement includes a 25% wage increase over the next 4½ years, as well as the restoration of a cost-of-living allowance the UAW lost in 2009.

In addition, the tentative agreements also will convert many temporary workers to full-time status, higher pay for temps, the right to go on strike over plant closures and significant increases in contributions to retirement plans.

By the end of the period covered by the Ford, GM and Stellantis contracts, the top worker wage at assembly plants will be more than US$40 an hour. All three contracts will expire on April 30, 2028.

The Stellantis deal, according to UAW officials, is similar to the one reached with Ford in other ways – as, reportedly, is the one that the UAW agreed upon with GM.

The Stellantis agreement also has provisions regarding specific North American plants, including the plant Stellantis had idled earlier in 2023 in Belvidere, Illinois, the UAW said. Stellantis has promised to add 5,000 new jobs at Belvidere and other factories over the next four years, in stark contrast to its previous intention to cut that many jobs during the same period, UAW President Shawn Fain said on Oct. 28.

The Ford contract, likewise, calls for more than $8 billion in investments in factories and other facilities, according to the UAW.

Why did workers feel the strike was necessary, and did they achieve their aims?

The workers knew that the companies had enjoyed big profits over the past several years. GM, for example, earned $10 billion in profits in 2021 and $14.5 billion in 2022.

After having made major economic concessions to help the companies survive the Great Recession, stiff international competition and the 2009 bankruptcies of GM and Chrysler – before the latter became a division of Stellantis – UAW members believed they deserved what they’re calling a “record contract” for having contributed to “record profits.”

“The days of low-wage, unstable jobs at the Big Three are coming to an end,” Fain said on Oct. 28. “The days of the Big Three walking away from the American working class, destroying our communities, are coming to an end.”

To forge its militant strategy, the union tore a page from the playbook of labor leader Walter Reuther, who led the UAW from 1946 until his death in 1970. Reuther believed that workers deserved a fair share of corporate abundance – just like shareholders and customers.

What happens next?

The UAW released the full details of the Ford contract to all of its members who are Ford workers on Oct. 29, after its leaders had signed off on it. Rank-and-file members now have to ratify the deal for it to go into effect.

The same process will happen with Stellantis on Nov. 2. The separate deal the UAW negotiated with GM will also require ratification.

In the meantime, the autoworkers who went on strike will be returning to their jobs.

How will this affect the automakers’ bottom line?

Some analysts have estimated that Ford’s contract, if ratified, would add $1.5 billion to the company’s annual labor costs. Ford itself estimated that this could add up to $900 in labor costs to each vehicle rolling off its assembly lines. Ford has also estimated that the strike cost it about $1.3 billion in pretax profits.

To put these numbers into perspective, Ford generated slightly more than $130 billion in revenue in the first three quarters of 2023, and almost $5 billion in profits.

Stellantis has not yet made public what it believes the strike has cost the company.

General Motors has said that the strike is costing the company more than $800 million.

This article was updated on Oct. 30, after GM and the UAW reached a tentative agreement on a new labor contract.

Originally published on October 30th, 2023, in The Conversation.  

Related Posts

'We're Not Gonna Wait Around Forever': UAW Expands Strike to Ford's Most Profitable Plant, Common Dreams

As of noon, 25,000 UAW members will be striking against the Detroit Three automakers

'This Is Our Defining Moment': UAW Launches Historic Strikes Against Big Three Automakers, Common Dreams

In two days, 144,000 US autoworkers workers are set to strike, Peoples Dispatch

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